WHA Premium (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.78
| WHART Stock | THB 10.20 0.10 0.99% |
WHA |
WHA Premium Target Price Odds to finish below 7.78
The tendency of WHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.78 or more in 90 days |
| 10.20 | 90 days | 7.78 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WHA Premium to drop to 7.78 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This WHA Premium Growth probability density function shows the probability of WHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WHA Premium Growth price to stay between 7.78 and its current price of 10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WHA Premium has a beta of 0.0114. This entails as returns on the market go up, WHA Premium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WHA Premium Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WHA Premium Growth has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WHA Premium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WHA Premium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WHA Premium Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WHA Premium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
WHA Premium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WHA Premium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WHA Premium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WHA Premium Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WHA Premium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
WHA Premium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WHA Premium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WHA Premium Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WHA Premium Growth is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WHA Premium Growth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WHA Premium Growth has accumulated 12.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. WHA Premium Growth has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WHA Premium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WHA Premium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WHA Premium Growth sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WHA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WHA Premium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| WHA Premium Growth has accumulated about 1.87 B in cash with (2.33 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of WHA Premium outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
WHA Premium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WHA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WHA Premium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WHA Premium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
WHA Premium Technical Analysis
WHA Premium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WHA Premium Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing WHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WHA Premium Predictive Forecast Models
WHA Premium's time-series forecasting models is one of many WHA Premium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WHA Premium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WHA Premium Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about WHA Premium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WHA Premium Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WHA Premium Growth is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WHA Premium Growth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WHA Premium Growth has accumulated 12.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. WHA Premium Growth has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WHA Premium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WHA Premium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WHA Premium Growth sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WHA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WHA Premium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| WHA Premium Growth has accumulated about 1.87 B in cash with (2.33 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of WHA Premium outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in WHA Stock
WHA Premium financial ratios help investors to determine whether WHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WHA with respect to the benefits of owning WHA Premium security.