Infrastrutture Wireless (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.31

WI8 Stock  EUR 9.65  0.01  0.10%   
Infrastrutture Wireless' future price is the expected price of Infrastrutture Wireless instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Infrastrutture Wireless Backtesting, Infrastrutture Wireless Valuation, Infrastrutture Wireless Correlation, Infrastrutture Wireless Hype Analysis, Infrastrutture Wireless Volatility, Infrastrutture Wireless History as well as Infrastrutture Wireless Performance.
  
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Infrastrutture Wireless Target Price Odds to finish below 8.31

The tendency of Infrastrutture Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 8.31  or more in 90 days
 9.65 90 days 8.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infrastrutture Wireless to drop to € 8.31  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane probability density function shows the probability of Infrastrutture Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Infrastrutture Wireless price to stay between € 8.31  and its current price of €9.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has a beta of -0.18. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Infrastrutture Wireless are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Infrastrutture Wireless Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Infrastrutture Wireless

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infrastrutture Wireless. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.649.6510.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.348.3510.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.989.9911.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.339.539.73
Details

Infrastrutture Wireless Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infrastrutture Wireless is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infrastrutture Wireless' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infrastrutture Wireless within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Infrastrutture Wireless Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infrastrutture Wireless for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infrastrutture Wireless can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infrastrutture Wireless generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has accumulated 3.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 57.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Infrastrutture Wireless has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Infrastrutture Wireless until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Infrastrutture Wireless' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Infrastrutture Wireless sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Infrastrutture to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Infrastrutture Wireless' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 67.0% of Infrastrutture Wireless outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Infrastrutture Wireless Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infrastrutture Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infrastrutture Wireless' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infrastrutture Wireless' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding959.7 M

Infrastrutture Wireless Technical Analysis

Infrastrutture Wireless' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infrastrutture Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infrastrutture Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Infrastrutture Wireless Predictive Forecast Models

Infrastrutture Wireless' time-series forecasting models is one of many Infrastrutture Wireless' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infrastrutture Wireless' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Infrastrutture Wireless

Checking the ongoing alerts about Infrastrutture Wireless for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infrastrutture Wireless help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infrastrutture Wireless generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has accumulated 3.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 57.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Infrastrutture Wireless has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Infrastrutture Wireless until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Infrastrutture Wireless' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Infrastrutture Wireless sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Infrastrutture to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Infrastrutture Wireless' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 67.0% of Infrastrutture Wireless outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Infrastrutture Stock

Infrastrutture Wireless financial ratios help investors to determine whether Infrastrutture Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Infrastrutture with respect to the benefits of owning Infrastrutture Wireless security.