Westcore Orado Tax Exempt Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.18

WICOX Fund  USD 10.56  0.03  0.28%   
Westcore Orado's future price is the expected price of Westcore Orado instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westcore Orado Tax Exempt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westcore Orado Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westcore Orado Correlation, Westcore Orado Hype Analysis, Westcore Orado Volatility, Westcore Orado History as well as Westcore Orado Performance.
  
Please specify Westcore Orado's target price for which you would like Westcore Orado odds to be computed.

Westcore Orado Target Price Odds to finish over 11.18

The tendency of Westcore Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.18  or more in 90 days
 10.56 90 days 11.18 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westcore Orado to move over $ 11.18  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Westcore Orado Tax Exempt probability density function shows the probability of Westcore Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westcore Orado Tax price to stay between its current price of $ 10.56  and $ 11.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westcore Orado Tax Exempt has a beta of -0.0633. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Westcore Orado are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Westcore Orado Tax Exempt is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Westcore Orado Tax Exempt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Westcore Orado Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westcore Orado

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westcore Orado Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3710.5610.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9910.1811.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3510.5510.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4310.5310.63
Details

Westcore Orado Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westcore Orado is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westcore Orado's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westcore Orado Tax Exempt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westcore Orado within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0048
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.59

Westcore Orado Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westcore Orado for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westcore Orado Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Westcore Orado Tax generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Westcore Orado Tax keeps about 95.14% of its net assets in bonds

Westcore Orado Technical Analysis

Westcore Orado's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westcore Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westcore Orado Tax Exempt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westcore Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westcore Orado Predictive Forecast Models

Westcore Orado's time-series forecasting models is one of many Westcore Orado's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westcore Orado's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westcore Orado Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westcore Orado for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westcore Orado Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Westcore Orado Tax generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Westcore Orado Tax keeps about 95.14% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Westcore Mutual Fund

Westcore Orado financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westcore Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westcore with respect to the benefits of owning Westcore Orado security.
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