Wihlborgs Fastigheter (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 103.79
| WIHL Stock | SEK 108.10 2.60 2.46% |
Wihlborgs |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Target Price Odds to finish below 103.79
The tendency of Wihlborgs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 103.79 or more in 90 days |
| 108.10 | 90 days | 103.79 | about 1.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wihlborgs Fastigheter to drop to kr 103.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB probability density function shows the probability of Wihlborgs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wihlborgs Fastigheter price to stay between kr 103.79 and its current price of kr108.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wihlborgs Fastigheter has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wihlborgs Fastigheter average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wihlborgs Fastigheter Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Wihlborgs Fastigheter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wihlborgs Fastigheter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wihlborgs Fastigheter Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wihlborgs Fastigheter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wihlborgs Fastigheter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wihlborgs Fastigheter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wihlborgs Fastigheter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wihlborgs Fastigheter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wihlborgs Fastigheter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wihlborgs Fastigheter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB has accumulated 23.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 157.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wihlborgs Fastigheter has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wihlborgs Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wihlborgs Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wihlborgs Fastigheter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wihlborgs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wihlborgs Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 13.0% of Wihlborgs Fastigheter outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wihlborgs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wihlborgs Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wihlborgs Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 315 M |
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Technical Analysis
Wihlborgs Fastigheter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wihlborgs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wihlborgs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wihlborgs Fastigheter Predictive Forecast Models
Wihlborgs Fastigheter's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wihlborgs Fastigheter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wihlborgs Fastigheter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wihlborgs Fastigheter
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wihlborgs Fastigheter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wihlborgs Fastigheter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wihlborgs Fastigheter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wihlborgs Fastigheter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB has accumulated 23.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 157.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wihlborgs Fastigheter has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wihlborgs Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wihlborgs Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wihlborgs Fastigheter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wihlborgs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wihlborgs Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 13.0% of Wihlborgs Fastigheter outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Wihlborgs Stock Analysis
When running Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure Wihlborgs Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wihlborgs Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wihlborgs Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wihlborgs Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wihlborgs Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.