WILLIS LEASE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 187.55
| WIJ Stock | EUR 206.00 2.00 0.96% |
WILLIS |
WILLIS LEASE Target Price Odds to finish over 187.55
The tendency of WILLIS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 187.55 in 90 days |
| 206.00 | 90 days | 187.55 | about 14.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WILLIS LEASE to stay above € 187.55 in 90 days from now is about 14.14 (This WILLIS LEASE FIN probability density function shows the probability of WILLIS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WILLIS LEASE FIN price to stay between € 187.55 and its current price of €206.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon WILLIS LEASE has a beta of 0.74. This entails as returns on the market go up, WILLIS LEASE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WILLIS LEASE FIN will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover WILLIS LEASE FIN has an alpha of 1.1763, implying that it can generate a 1.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WILLIS LEASE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WILLIS LEASE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WILLIS LEASE FIN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WILLIS LEASE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WILLIS LEASE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WILLIS LEASE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WILLIS LEASE FIN, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WILLIS LEASE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 36.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
WILLIS LEASE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WILLIS LEASE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WILLIS LEASE FIN can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WILLIS LEASE FIN appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 293.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.4 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
WILLIS LEASE Technical Analysis
WILLIS LEASE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WILLIS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WILLIS LEASE FIN. In general, you should focus on analyzing WILLIS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WILLIS LEASE Predictive Forecast Models
WILLIS LEASE's time-series forecasting models is one of many WILLIS LEASE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WILLIS LEASE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WILLIS LEASE FIN
Checking the ongoing alerts about WILLIS LEASE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WILLIS LEASE FIN help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WILLIS LEASE FIN appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 293.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.4 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in WILLIS Stock
WILLIS LEASE financial ratios help investors to determine whether WILLIS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WILLIS with respect to the benefits of owning WILLIS LEASE security.