Wyncoast Industrial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.41

WIN Stock  THB 0.41  0.01  2.50%   
Wyncoast Industrial's future price is the expected price of Wyncoast Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wyncoast Industrial Park performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wyncoast Industrial Backtesting, Wyncoast Industrial Valuation, Wyncoast Industrial Correlation, Wyncoast Industrial Hype Analysis, Wyncoast Industrial Volatility, Wyncoast Industrial History as well as Wyncoast Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Wyncoast Industrial's target price for which you would like Wyncoast Industrial odds to be computed.

Wyncoast Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 0.41

The tendency of Wyncoast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.41 90 days 0.41 
about 15.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wyncoast Industrial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 15.04 (This Wyncoast Industrial Park probability density function shows the probability of Wyncoast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wyncoast Industrial has a beta of 0.14. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wyncoast Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wyncoast Industrial Park will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wyncoast Industrial Park has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wyncoast Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wyncoast Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wyncoast Industrial Park. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4170.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3870.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.40127.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.390.410.43
Details

Wyncoast Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wyncoast Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wyncoast Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wyncoast Industrial Park, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wyncoast Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Wyncoast Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wyncoast Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wyncoast Industrial Park can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wyncoast Industrial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wyncoast Industrial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wyncoast Industrial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wyncoast Industrial Park has accumulated 105.07 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wyncoast Industrial Park has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wyncoast Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wyncoast Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wyncoast Industrial Park sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wyncoast to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wyncoast Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 66.0% of Wyncoast Industrial outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wyncoast Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wyncoast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wyncoast Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wyncoast Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding561.1 M

Wyncoast Industrial Technical Analysis

Wyncoast Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wyncoast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wyncoast Industrial Park. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wyncoast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wyncoast Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Wyncoast Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wyncoast Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wyncoast Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wyncoast Industrial Park

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wyncoast Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wyncoast Industrial Park help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wyncoast Industrial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wyncoast Industrial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wyncoast Industrial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wyncoast Industrial Park has accumulated 105.07 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wyncoast Industrial Park has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wyncoast Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wyncoast Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wyncoast Industrial Park sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wyncoast to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wyncoast Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 66.0% of Wyncoast Industrial outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wyncoast Stock

Wyncoast Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wyncoast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wyncoast with respect to the benefits of owning Wyncoast Industrial security.