Wilmington International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.94

WINAX Fund  USD 9.15  0.04  0.44%   
Wilmington International's future price is the expected price of Wilmington International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington International Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington International Correlation, Wilmington International Hype Analysis, Wilmington International Volatility, Wilmington International History as well as Wilmington International Performance.
  
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Wilmington International Target Price Odds to finish over 9.94

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.94  or more in 90 days
 9.15 90 days 9.94 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington International to move over $ 9.94  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wilmington International Fund probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington International price to stay between its current price of $ 9.15  and $ 9.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington International has a beta of 0.43. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilmington International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilmington International Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilmington International Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilmington International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.379.159.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.439.219.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.279.069.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.989.149.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilmington International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilmington International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilmington International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilmington International.

Wilmington International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington International Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Wilmington International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wilmington International keeps about 8.43% of its net assets in cash

Wilmington International Technical Analysis

Wilmington International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington International Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington International Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wilmington International keeps about 8.43% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington International security.
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