IM Vinaria (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.88
| WINE Stock | 14.86 0.22 1.46% |
WINE |
IM Vinaria Target Price Odds to finish over 14.88
The tendency of WINE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 14.88 or more in 90 days |
| 14.86 | 90 days | 14.88 | about 68.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IM Vinaria to move over 14.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.1 (This IM Vinaria Purcari probability density function shows the probability of WINE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IM Vinaria Purcari price to stay between its current price of 14.86 and 14.88 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IM Vinaria has a beta of 0.0216. This entails as returns on the market go up, IM Vinaria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IM Vinaria Purcari will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IM Vinaria Purcari has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IM Vinaria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IM Vinaria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IM Vinaria Purcari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IM Vinaria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IM Vinaria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IM Vinaria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IM Vinaria Purcari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IM Vinaria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
IM Vinaria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IM Vinaria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IM Vinaria Purcari can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IM Vinaria Purcari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
IM Vinaria Technical Analysis
IM Vinaria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WINE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IM Vinaria Purcari. In general, you should focus on analyzing WINE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IM Vinaria Predictive Forecast Models
IM Vinaria's time-series forecasting models is one of many IM Vinaria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IM Vinaria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IM Vinaria Purcari
Checking the ongoing alerts about IM Vinaria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IM Vinaria Purcari help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IM Vinaria Purcari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in WINE Stock
IM Vinaria financial ratios help investors to determine whether WINE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WINE with respect to the benefits of owning IM Vinaria security.