Encore Wire Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 238.60
| WIREDelisted Stock | USD 289.84 0.00 0.00% |
Encore |
Encore Wire Target Price Odds to finish below 238.60
The tendency of Encore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 238.60 or more in 90 days |
| 289.84 | 90 days | 238.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Encore Wire to drop to $ 238.60 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Encore Wire probability density function shows the probability of Encore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Encore Wire price to stay between $ 238.60 and its current price of $289.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Encore Wire has a beta of -0.0287. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Encore Wire are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Encore Wire is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Encore Wire has an alpha of 0.1554, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Encore Wire Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Encore Wire
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encore Wire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Encore Wire Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Encore Wire is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Encore Wire's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Encore Wire, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Encore Wire within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Encore Wire Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Encore Wire for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Encore Wire can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Encore Wire is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Encore Wire has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Encore Wire Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Encore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Encore Wire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encore Wire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 560.6 M |
Encore Wire Technical Analysis
Encore Wire's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Encore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Encore Wire. In general, you should focus on analyzing Encore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Encore Wire Predictive Forecast Models
Encore Wire's time-series forecasting models is one of many Encore Wire's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Encore Wire's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Encore Wire
Checking the ongoing alerts about Encore Wire for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Encore Wire help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Encore Wire is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Encore Wire has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Other Consideration for investing in Encore Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Encore Wire check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Encore Wire's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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