Wise Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.72
WISE Stock | SEK 16.55 0.10 0.61% |
Wise |
Wise Group Target Price Odds to finish over 18.72
The tendency of Wise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over kr 18.72 or more in 90 days |
16.55 | 90 days | 18.72 | about 66.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wise Group to move over kr 18.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.21 (This Wise Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Wise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wise Group AB price to stay between its current price of kr 16.55 and kr 18.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wise Group AB has a beta of -0.16. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wise Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wise Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wise Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wise Group Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Wise Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wise Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wise Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wise Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wise Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wise Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wise Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Wise Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wise Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wise Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Wise Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Wise Group AB has accumulated 76.73 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 34.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wise Group AB has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wise Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wise Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wise Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wise to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wise Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 63.0% of Wise Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wise Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wise Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wise Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.3 M |
Wise Group Technical Analysis
Wise Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wise Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wise Group Predictive Forecast Models
Wise Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wise Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wise Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wise Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wise Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wise Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wise Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Wise Group AB has accumulated 76.73 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 34.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wise Group AB has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wise Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wise Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wise Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wise to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wise Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 63.0% of Wise Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Wise Stock Analysis
When running Wise Group's price analysis, check to measure Wise Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wise Group is operating at the current time. Most of Wise Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wise Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wise Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wise Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.