Wilcon Depot (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.82
| WLCON Stock | 13.60 0.60 4.62% |
Wilcon |
Wilcon Depot Target Price Odds to finish below 12.82
The tendency of Wilcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.82 or more in 90 days |
| 13.60 | 90 days | 12.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilcon Depot to drop to 12.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wilcon Depot probability density function shows the probability of Wilcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilcon Depot price to stay between 12.82 and its current price of 13.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wilcon Depot has a beta of 0.23. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilcon Depot average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilcon Depot will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilcon Depot has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wilcon Depot Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wilcon Depot
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilcon Depot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wilcon Depot Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilcon Depot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilcon Depot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilcon Depot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilcon Depot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Wilcon Depot Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilcon Depot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilcon Depot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wilcon Depot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Wilcon Depot Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilcon Depot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilcon Depot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 492 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Wilcon Depot Technical Analysis
Wilcon Depot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilcon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilcon Depot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilcon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wilcon Depot Predictive Forecast Models
Wilcon Depot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilcon Depot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilcon Depot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wilcon Depot
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilcon Depot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilcon Depot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wilcon Depot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Wilcon Stock Analysis
When running Wilcon Depot's price analysis, check to measure Wilcon Depot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wilcon Depot is operating at the current time. Most of Wilcon Depot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wilcon Depot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wilcon Depot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wilcon Depot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.