Wilshire International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.05
| WLCTX Fund | USD 11.48 0.02 0.17% |
Wilshire |
Wilshire International Target Price Odds to finish over 12.05
The tendency of Wilshire Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.05 or more in 90 days |
| 11.48 | 90 days | 12.05 | about 22.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilshire International to move over $ 12.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.99 (This Wilshire International Equity probability density function shows the probability of Wilshire Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilshire International price to stay between its current price of $ 11.48 and $ 12.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilshire International has a beta of 0.44. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilshire International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilshire International Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilshire International Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wilshire International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wilshire International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilshire International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wilshire International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wilshire International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilshire International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilshire International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilshire International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilshire International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Wilshire International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilshire International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilshire International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wilshire International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps about 12.03% of its net assets in bonds |
Wilshire International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilshire Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilshire International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilshire International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Wilshire International Technical Analysis
Wilshire International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilshire Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilshire International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilshire Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wilshire International Predictive Forecast Models
Wilshire International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilshire International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilshire International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wilshire International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilshire International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilshire International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wilshire International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps about 12.03% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Wilshire Mutual Fund
Wilshire International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilshire Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilshire with respect to the benefits of owning Wilshire International security.
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