Willow Biosciences Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.12
| WLLW Stock | CAD 0.07 0.01 6.25% |
Willow |
Willow Biosciences Target Price Odds to finish over 16.12
The tendency of Willow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 16.12 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 16.12 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Willow Biosciences to move over C$ 16.12 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Willow Biosciences probability density function shows the probability of Willow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Willow Biosciences price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.07 and C$ 16.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Willow Biosciences has a beta of -1.39. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Willow Biosciences are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Willow Biosciences is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Willow Biosciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Willow Biosciences Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Willow Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willow Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Willow Biosciences Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Willow Biosciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Willow Biosciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Willow Biosciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Willow Biosciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Willow Biosciences Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Willow Biosciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Willow Biosciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Willow Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Willow Biosciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Willow Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Willow Biosciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 821 K. | |
| Willow Biosciences has accumulated about 11.01 M in cash with (10.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Willow Biosciences Launches 2M Private Placement - TipRanks |
Willow Biosciences Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Willow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Willow Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willow Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
Willow Biosciences Technical Analysis
Willow Biosciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Willow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Willow Biosciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Willow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Willow Biosciences Predictive Forecast Models
Willow Biosciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Willow Biosciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Willow Biosciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Willow Biosciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about Willow Biosciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Willow Biosciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Willow Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Willow Biosciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Willow Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Willow Biosciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 821 K. | |
| Willow Biosciences has accumulated about 11.01 M in cash with (10.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Willow Biosciences Launches 2M Private Placement - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Willow Stock
Willow Biosciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether Willow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Willow with respect to the benefits of owning Willow Biosciences security.