Western Asset Mortgage Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.70

WMCDelisted Stock  USD 9.57  0.12  1.27%   
Western Asset's future price is the expected price of Western Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Western Asset Mortgage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
  
Please specify Western Asset's target price for which you would like Western Asset odds to be computed.

Western Asset Target Price Odds to finish over 8.70

The tendency of Western Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.70  in 90 days
 9.57 90 days 8.70 
about 32.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Western Asset to stay above $ 8.70  in 90 days from now is about 32.75 (This Western Asset Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Western Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Western Asset Mortgage price to stay between $ 8.70  and its current price of $9.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.67 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Western Asset Mortgage has a beta of -0.36. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Western Asset are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Western Asset Mortgage is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Western Asset Mortgage has an alpha of 0.305, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Western Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Western Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Asset Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.579.579.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.767.7610.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3110.3110.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.128.869.61
Details

Western Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Western Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Western Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Western Asset Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Western Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Western Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Western Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Western Asset Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Asset is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Western Asset has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (85.47 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (63.48 M).

Western Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Western Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Western Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments24 M

Western Asset Technical Analysis

Western Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Western Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Western Asset Mortgage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Western Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Western Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Western Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Western Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Western Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Western Asset Mortgage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Western Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Western Asset Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Asset is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Western Asset has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (85.47 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (63.48 M).
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Other Consideration for investing in Western Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Western Asset Mortgage check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Western Asset's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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