Warner Music Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.02
| WMG Stock | USD 31.18 2.49 7.40% |
Warner |
Warner Music Target Price Odds to finish below 35.02
The tendency of Warner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 35.02 after 90 days |
| 31.18 | 90 days | 35.02 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warner Music to stay under $ 35.02 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Warner Music Group probability density function shows the probability of Warner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Warner Music Group price to stay between its current price of $ 31.18 and $ 35.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Warner Music has a beta of 0.22. This entails as returns on the market go up, Warner Music average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Warner Music Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Warner Music Group has an alpha of 0.1015, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Warner Music Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Warner Music
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warner Music Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Warner Music Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warner Music is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warner Music's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warner Music Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warner Music within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Warner Music Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warner Music for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warner Music Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Warner Music Group has 4.29 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Warner Music Tumbles After Results Show Streaming Slows |
Warner Music Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warner Music's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warner Music's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 361 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 694 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.72 | |
| Shares Float | 134.3 M |
Warner Music Technical Analysis
Warner Music's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Warner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Warner Music Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Warner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Warner Music Predictive Forecast Models
Warner Music's time-series forecasting models is one of many Warner Music's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Warner Music's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Warner Music Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Warner Music for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Warner Music Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Warner Music Group has 4.29 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Warner Music Tumbles After Results Show Streaming Slows |
Check out Warner Music Backtesting, Warner Music Valuation, Warner Music Correlation, Warner Music Hype Analysis, Warner Music Volatility, Warner Music History as well as Warner Music Performance. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warner Music. If investors know Warner will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warner Music listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.137 | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share 12.343 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0742 |
The market value of Warner Music Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warner that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warner Music's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warner Music's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warner Music's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warner Music's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warner Music's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warner Music is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warner Music's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.