Wesmark West Virginia Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.02

WMKMX Fund  USD 9.82  0.02  0.20%   
Wesmark West's future price is the expected price of Wesmark West instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wesmark West Virginia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wesmark West Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wesmark West Correlation, Wesmark West Hype Analysis, Wesmark West Volatility, Wesmark West History as well as Wesmark West Performance.
  
Please specify Wesmark West's target price for which you would like Wesmark West odds to be computed.

Wesmark West Target Price Odds to finish over 10.02

The tendency of Wesmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.02  or more in 90 days
 9.82 90 days 10.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wesmark West to move over $ 10.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wesmark West Virginia probability density function shows the probability of Wesmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wesmark West Virginia price to stay between its current price of $ 9.82  and $ 10.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wesmark West Virginia has a beta of -0.1. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wesmark West are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wesmark West Virginia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wesmark West Virginia has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wesmark West Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wesmark West

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wesmark West Virginia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.569.8210.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.549.8010.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.549.8010.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.629.739.84
Details

Wesmark West Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wesmark West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wesmark West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wesmark West Virginia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wesmark West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

Wesmark West Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wesmark West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wesmark West Virginia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wesmark West Virginia keeps about 98.4% of its net assets in bonds

Wesmark West Technical Analysis

Wesmark West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wesmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wesmark West Virginia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wesmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wesmark West Predictive Forecast Models

Wesmark West's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wesmark West's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wesmark West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wesmark West Virginia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wesmark West for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wesmark West Virginia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wesmark West Virginia keeps about 98.4% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Wesmark Mutual Fund

Wesmark West financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wesmark Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wesmark with respect to the benefits of owning Wesmark West security.
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