Wilh Wilhelmsen (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.46

WML2 Stock  EUR 34.50  1.10  3.29%   
Wilh Wilhelmsen's future price is the expected price of Wilh Wilhelmsen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilh Wilhelmsen Backtesting, Wilh Wilhelmsen Valuation, Wilh Wilhelmsen Correlation, Wilh Wilhelmsen Hype Analysis, Wilh Wilhelmsen Volatility, Wilh Wilhelmsen History as well as Wilh Wilhelmsen Performance.
  
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Wilh Wilhelmsen Target Price Odds to finish below 33.46

The tendency of Wilh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 33.46  or more in 90 days
 34.50 90 days 33.46 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilh Wilhelmsen to drop to € 33.46  or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding probability density function shows the probability of Wilh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding price to stay between € 33.46  and its current price of €34.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wilh Wilhelmsen has a beta of 0.82. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilh Wilhelmsen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding has an alpha of 0.4515, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wilh Wilhelmsen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilh Wilhelmsen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.4134.5038.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.4237.5141.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.8834.9739.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.1034.1335.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilh Wilhelmsen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilh Wilhelmsen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilh Wilhelmsen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilh Wilhelmsen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilh Wilhelmsen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilh Wilhelmsen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
2.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Wilh Wilhelmsen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilh Wilhelmsen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilh Wilhelmsen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wilh Wilhelmsen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilh Wilhelmsen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilh Wilhelmsen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 M

Wilh Wilhelmsen Technical Analysis

Wilh Wilhelmsen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilh Wilhelmsen Predictive Forecast Models

Wilh Wilhelmsen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilh Wilhelmsen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilh Wilhelmsen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilh Wilhelmsen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilh Wilhelmsen Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilh Wilhelmsen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wilh Stock

Wilh Wilhelmsen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilh with respect to the benefits of owning Wilh Wilhelmsen security.