Westwood Market Neutral Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.37

WMNUX Fund  USD 9.72  0.01  0.10%   
Westwood Market's future price is the expected price of Westwood Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westwood Market Neutral performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westwood Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westwood Market Correlation, Westwood Market Hype Analysis, Westwood Market Volatility, Westwood Market History as well as Westwood Market Performance.
  
Please specify Westwood Market's target price for which you would like Westwood Market odds to be computed.

Westwood Market Target Price Odds to finish below 9.37

The tendency of Westwood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.37  or more in 90 days
 9.72 90 days 9.37 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westwood Market to drop to $ 9.37  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Westwood Market Neutral probability density function shows the probability of Westwood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westwood Market Neutral price to stay between $ 9.37  and its current price of $9.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westwood Market has a beta of 0.0653. This entails as returns on the market go up, Westwood Market average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Westwood Market Neutral will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Westwood Market Neutral has an alpha of 0.0092, implying that it can generate a 0.00924 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Westwood Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westwood Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westwood Market Neutral. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Westwood Market's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.639.729.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.838.9210.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.649.729.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.659.699.72
Details

Westwood Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westwood Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westwood Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westwood Market Neutral, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westwood Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -1.15

Westwood Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westwood Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westwood Market Neutral can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 13.13% of its net assets in cash

Westwood Market Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Westwood Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Westwood Market's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Westwood Market's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Westwood Market Technical Analysis

Westwood Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westwood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westwood Market Neutral. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westwood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westwood Market Predictive Forecast Models

Westwood Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Westwood Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westwood Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westwood Market Neutral

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westwood Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westwood Market Neutral help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 13.13% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Westwood Mutual Fund

Westwood Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westwood with respect to the benefits of owning Westwood Market security.
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