Walmart (Argentina) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11878.0

WMT Stock  ARS 6,020  160.00  2.73%   
Walmart's future price is the expected price of Walmart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Walmart performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Walmart Backtesting, Walmart Valuation, Walmart Correlation, Walmart Hype Analysis, Walmart Volatility, Walmart History as well as Walmart Performance.
For information on how to trade Walmart Stock refer to our How to Trade Walmart Stock guide.
  
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Walmart Target Price Odds to finish over 11878.0

The tendency of Walmart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11,878  or more in 90 days
 6,020 90 days 11,878 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walmart to move over  11,878  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Walmart probability density function shows the probability of Walmart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walmart price to stay between its current price of  6,020  and  11,878  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Walmart has a beta of -0.0842. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Walmart are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Walmart is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Walmart has an alpha of 0.1764, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Walmart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Walmart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walmart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,0196,0206,021
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9064,9086,622
Details

Walmart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walmart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walmart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walmart, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walmart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
206.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Walmart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walmart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walmart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Walmart has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Walmart has accumulated 34.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 101.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Walmart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walmart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B

Walmart Technical Analysis

Walmart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walmart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walmart. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walmart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Walmart Predictive Forecast Models

Walmart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Walmart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walmart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Walmart

Checking the ongoing alerts about Walmart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walmart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Walmart has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Walmart has accumulated 34.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 101.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Walmart Stock

When determining whether Walmart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Walmart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Walmart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Walmart Stock:
Check out Walmart Backtesting, Walmart Valuation, Walmart Correlation, Walmart Hype Analysis, Walmart Volatility, Walmart History as well as Walmart Performance.
For information on how to trade Walmart Stock refer to our How to Trade Walmart Stock guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.