Widodo Makmur (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.04
| WMUU Stock | IDR 10.00 1.00 9.09% |
Widodo |
Widodo Makmur Target Price Odds to finish over 17.04
The tendency of Widodo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 17.04 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 17.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Widodo Makmur to move over 17.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Widodo Makmur Unggas probability density function shows the probability of Widodo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Widodo Makmur Unggas price to stay between its current price of 10.00 and 17.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Widodo Makmur will likely underperform. Additionally Widodo Makmur Unggas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Widodo Makmur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Widodo Makmur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Widodo Makmur Unggas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Widodo Makmur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Widodo Makmur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Widodo Makmur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Widodo Makmur Unggas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Widodo Makmur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Widodo Makmur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Widodo Makmur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Widodo Makmur Unggas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Widodo Makmur Unggas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Widodo Makmur Unggas has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Widodo Makmur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Widodo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Widodo Makmur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Widodo Makmur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 93.3 B |
Widodo Makmur Technical Analysis
Widodo Makmur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Widodo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Widodo Makmur Unggas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Widodo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Widodo Makmur Predictive Forecast Models
Widodo Makmur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Widodo Makmur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Widodo Makmur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Widodo Makmur Unggas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Widodo Makmur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Widodo Makmur Unggas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Widodo Makmur Unggas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Widodo Makmur Unggas has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Widodo Stock
Widodo Makmur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Widodo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Widodo with respect to the benefits of owning Widodo Makmur security.