W P Carey Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.95

WPC Stock  USD 55.74  0.07  0.13%   
W P's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on W P Carey. Implied volatility approximates the future value of W P based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in W P Carey over a specific time period. For example, WPC Option Call 20-12-2024 55 is a CALL option contract on W P's common stock with a strick price of 55.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-02 at 09:41:24 for $2.15 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.85, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All WPC options

Closest to current price WPC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

W P's future price is the expected price of W P instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of W P Carey performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out W P Backtesting, W P Valuation, W P Correlation, W P Hype Analysis, W P Volatility, W P History as well as W P Performance.
  
At present, W P's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 1.68, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 5.27. Please specify W P's target price for which you would like W P odds to be computed.

W P Target Price Odds to finish over 59.95

The tendency of WPC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 59.95  or more in 90 days
 55.74 90 days 59.95 
about 33.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of W P to move over $ 59.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.03 (This W P Carey probability density function shows the probability of WPC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of W P Carey price to stay between its current price of $ 55.74  and $ 59.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.8 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon W P has a beta of 0.14. This entails as returns on the market go up, W P average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding W P Carey will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally W P Carey has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   W P Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for W P

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as W P Carey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.8755.8556.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.2365.1566.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.9155.8956.88
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.3572.9180.93
Details

W P Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. W P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the W P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold W P Carey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of W P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

W P Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of W P for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for W P Carey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W P Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 W P paid $ 0.875 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: W. P. Carey sees growth in U.S. retail expansion amid tenant challenges and market undervaluation

W P Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WPC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential W P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. W P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments633.9 M

W P Technical Analysis

W P's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WPC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of W P Carey. In general, you should focus on analyzing WPC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

W P Predictive Forecast Models

W P's time-series forecasting models is one of many W P's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary W P's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about W P Carey

Checking the ongoing alerts about W P for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for W P Carey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W P Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 W P paid $ 0.875 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: W. P. Carey sees growth in U.S. retail expansion amid tenant challenges and market undervaluation
When determining whether W P Carey offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of W P's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of W P Carey Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on W P Carey Stock:
Check out W P Backtesting, W P Valuation, W P Correlation, W P Hype Analysis, W P Volatility, W P History as well as W P Performance.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of W P. If investors know WPC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about W P listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
3.47
Earnings Share
2.53
Revenue Per Share
7.216
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of W P Carey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WPC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of W P's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is W P's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because W P's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect W P's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between W P's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if W P is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, W P's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.