Wilmington Global Alpha Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.26

WRAAX Fund  USD 13.26  0.01  0.08%   
Wilmington Global's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Global Alpha performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Global Correlation, Wilmington Global Hype Analysis, Wilmington Global Volatility, Wilmington Global History as well as Wilmington Global Performance.
  
Please specify Wilmington Global's target price for which you would like Wilmington Global odds to be computed.

Wilmington Global Target Price Odds to finish over 13.26

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.26 90 days 13.26 
about 23.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.08 (This Wilmington Global Alpha probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington Global Alpha has a beta of -0.0271. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wilmington Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wilmington Global Alpha is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wilmington Global Alpha has an alpha of 0.0191, implying that it can generate a 0.0191 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wilmington Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Global Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9613.2613.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8013.1013.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9313.2213.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2113.2513.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wilmington Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wilmington Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wilmington Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wilmington Global Alpha.

Wilmington Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Global Alpha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Wilmington Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Global Alpha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 10.18% of its net assets in cash

Wilmington Global Technical Analysis

Wilmington Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Global Alpha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Global Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Global Alpha

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Global Alpha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 10.18% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Global security.
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