Wr Berkley Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 18.53

WRB-PH Preferred Stock  USD 18.67  0.21  1.14%   
WR Berkley's future price is the expected price of WR Berkley instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WR Berkley performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WR Berkley Backtesting, WR Berkley Valuation, WR Berkley Correlation, WR Berkley Hype Analysis, WR Berkley Volatility, WR Berkley History as well as WR Berkley Performance.
  
Please specify WR Berkley's target price for which you would like WR Berkley odds to be computed.

WR Berkley Target Price Odds to finish below 18.53

The tendency of WRB-PH Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.53  or more in 90 days
 18.67 90 days 18.53 
about 6.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WR Berkley to drop to $ 18.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.33 (This WR Berkley probability density function shows the probability of WRB-PH Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WR Berkley price to stay between $ 18.53  and its current price of $18.67 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WR Berkley has a beta of 0.17. This entails as returns on the market go up, WR Berkley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WR Berkley will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WR Berkley has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   WR Berkley Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WR Berkley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WR Berkley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6918.6719.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1319.1120.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4718.4519.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0718.6419.21
Details

WR Berkley Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WR Berkley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WR Berkley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WR Berkley, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WR Berkley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

WR Berkley Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WR Berkley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WR Berkley can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WR Berkley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

WR Berkley Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WRB-PH Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WR Berkley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WR Berkley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid-235.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

WR Berkley Technical Analysis

WR Berkley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WRB-PH Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WR Berkley. In general, you should focus on analyzing WRB-PH Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WR Berkley Predictive Forecast Models

WR Berkley's time-series forecasting models is one of many WR Berkley's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WR Berkley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WR Berkley

Checking the ongoing alerts about WR Berkley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WR Berkley help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WR Berkley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in WRB-PH Preferred Stock

WR Berkley financial ratios help investors to determine whether WRB-PH Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WRB-PH with respect to the benefits of owning WR Berkley security.