Whitbread PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3405.02
| WTB Stock | 2,850 15.00 0.53% |
Whitbread |
Whitbread PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 3405.02
The tendency of Whitbread Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3,405 after 90 days |
| 2,850 | 90 days | 3,405 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Whitbread PLC to stay under 3,405 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Whitbread PLC probability density function shows the probability of Whitbread Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Whitbread PLC price to stay between its current price of 2,850 and 3,405 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Whitbread PLC has a beta of -0.18. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Whitbread PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Whitbread PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Whitbread PLC has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Whitbread PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Whitbread PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Whitbread PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Whitbread PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Whitbread PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Whitbread PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Whitbread PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Whitbread PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 122.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Whitbread PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Whitbread PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Whitbread PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Whitbread PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: WTBCF Cash Flow from Financing -1,0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Whitbread PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Whitbread Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Whitbread PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Whitbread PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 696.7 M |
Whitbread PLC Technical Analysis
Whitbread PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Whitbread Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Whitbread PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Whitbread Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Whitbread PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Whitbread PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Whitbread PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Whitbread PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Whitbread PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Whitbread PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Whitbread PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Whitbread PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: WTBCF Cash Flow from Financing -1,0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Whitbread Stock
Whitbread PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Whitbread Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Whitbread with respect to the benefits of owning Whitbread PLC security.