Wüstenrot Württembergische (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.92
| WUW Stock | 11.92 0.28 2.30% |
Wüstenrot |
Wüstenrot Württembergische Target Price Odds to finish below 11.92
The tendency of Wüstenrot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 11.92 | 90 days | 11.92 | about 20.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wüstenrot Württembergische to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 20.27 (This Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG probability density function shows the probability of Wüstenrot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wüstenrot Württembergische has a beta of 0.0515. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wüstenrot Württembergische average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wüstenrot Württembergische Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wüstenrot Württembergische
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wüstenrot Württembergische. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wüstenrot Württembergische's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wüstenrot Württembergische Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wüstenrot Württembergische is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wüstenrot Württembergische's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wüstenrot Württembergische within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Wüstenrot Württembergische Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wüstenrot Württembergische for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wüstenrot Württembergische can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wüstenrot Württembergische generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG has accumulated about 404 K in cash with (795.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wüstenrot Württembergische Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wüstenrot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wüstenrot Württembergische's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wüstenrot Württembergische's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.9 B |
Wüstenrot Württembergische Technical Analysis
Wüstenrot Württembergische's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wüstenrot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wüstenrot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wüstenrot Württembergische Predictive Forecast Models
Wüstenrot Württembergische's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wüstenrot Württembergische's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wüstenrot Württembergische's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wüstenrot Württembergische
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wüstenrot Württembergische for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wüstenrot Württembergische help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wüstenrot Württembergische generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wstenrot Wrttembergische AG has accumulated about 404 K in cash with (795.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Wüstenrot Stock Analysis
When running Wüstenrot Württembergische's price analysis, check to measure Wüstenrot Württembergische's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wüstenrot Württembergische is operating at the current time. Most of Wüstenrot Württembergische's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wüstenrot Württembergische's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wüstenrot Württembergische's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wüstenrot Württembergische to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.