Willamette Valley Vineyards Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 3.71

WVVIP Preferred Stock  USD 3.75  0.09  2.46%   
Willamette Valley's future price is the expected price of Willamette Valley instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Willamette Valley Vineyards performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Willamette Valley Backtesting, Willamette Valley Valuation, Willamette Valley Correlation, Willamette Valley Hype Analysis, Willamette Valley Volatility, Willamette Valley History as well as Willamette Valley Performance.
  
Please specify Willamette Valley's target price for which you would like Willamette Valley odds to be computed.

Willamette Valley Target Price Odds to finish over 3.71

The tendency of Willamette Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.71  in 90 days
 3.75 90 days 3.71 
about 72.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Willamette Valley to stay above $ 3.71  in 90 days from now is about 72.94 (This Willamette Valley Vineyards probability density function shows the probability of Willamette Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Willamette Valley price to stay between $ 3.71  and its current price of $3.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Willamette Valley Vineyards has a beta of -0.51. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Willamette Valley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Willamette Valley Vineyards is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Willamette Valley Vineyards has an alpha of 0.0087, implying that it can generate a 0.008667 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Willamette Valley Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Willamette Valley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willamette Valley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.693.666.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.156.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.723.696.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.463.673.87
Details

Willamette Valley Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Willamette Valley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Willamette Valley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Willamette Valley Vineyards, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Willamette Valley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Willamette Valley Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Willamette Valley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Willamette Valley can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Willamette Valley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Willamette Valley Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Willamette Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Willamette Valley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willamette Valley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 M

Willamette Valley Technical Analysis

Willamette Valley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Willamette Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Willamette Valley Vineyards. In general, you should focus on analyzing Willamette Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Willamette Valley Predictive Forecast Models

Willamette Valley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Willamette Valley's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Willamette Valley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Willamette Valley

Checking the ongoing alerts about Willamette Valley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Willamette Valley help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Willamette Valley generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Willamette Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Willamette Valley's price analysis, check to measure Willamette Valley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Willamette Valley is operating at the current time. Most of Willamette Valley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Willamette Valley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Willamette Valley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Willamette Valley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.