Westwood Income Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.23

WWICX Fund  USD 12.36  0.02  0.16%   
Westwood Income's future price is the expected price of Westwood Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westwood Income Opportunity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westwood Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westwood Income Correlation, Westwood Income Hype Analysis, Westwood Income Volatility, Westwood Income History as well as Westwood Income Performance.
  
Please specify Westwood Income's target price for which you would like Westwood Income odds to be computed.

Westwood Income Target Price Odds to finish over 12.23

The tendency of Westwood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.23  in 90 days
 12.36 90 days 12.23 
about 7.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westwood Income to stay above $ 12.23  in 90 days from now is about 7.83 (This Westwood Income Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Westwood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westwood Income Oppo price to stay between $ 12.23  and its current price of $12.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westwood Income has a beta of 0.39. This entails as returns on the market go up, Westwood Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Westwood Income Opportunity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Westwood Income Opportunity has an alpha of 0.002, implying that it can generate a 0.001955 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Westwood Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westwood Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westwood Income Oppo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Westwood Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0012.3612.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9312.2912.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0612.4212.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8812.1412.40
Details

Westwood Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westwood Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westwood Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westwood Income Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westwood Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Westwood Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westwood Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westwood Income Oppo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.75% of its net assets in bonds

Westwood Income Technical Analysis

Westwood Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westwood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westwood Income Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westwood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westwood Income Predictive Forecast Models

Westwood Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Westwood Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westwood Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westwood Income Oppo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westwood Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westwood Income Oppo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.75% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Westwood Mutual Fund

Westwood Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westwood with respect to the benefits of owning Westwood Income security.
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