United States Steel Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.03
| X Stock | USD 39.03 1.48 3.65% |
United |
United States Target Price Odds to finish over 39.03
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.03 | 90 days | 39.03 | about 22.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United States to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.75 (This United States Steel probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, United States will likely underperform. Additionally United States Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. United States Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for United States
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United States Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United States Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United States Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0075 |
United States Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United States Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United States Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| United States Steel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: U.S. Steel Stock Rises on Nippon Acquisition Progress |
United States Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 255.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
United States Technical Analysis
United States' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United States Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United States Predictive Forecast Models
United States' time-series forecasting models is one of many United States' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United States' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United States Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about United States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United States Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United States Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| United States Steel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: U.S. Steel Stock Rises on Nippon Acquisition Progress |
Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis
When running United States' price analysis, check to measure United States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United States is operating at the current time. Most of United States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.