Amundi Govt (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 200.55
| X1GD Etf | EUR 201.96 0.61 0.30% |
Amundi |
Amundi Govt Target Price Odds to finish below 200.55
The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 200.55 or more in 90 days |
| 201.96 | 90 days | 200.55 | about 83.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi Govt to drop to € 200.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.24 (This Amundi Govt Bond probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi Govt Bond price to stay between € 200.55 and its current price of €201.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi Govt has a beta of 0.0031. This entails as returns on the market go up, Amundi Govt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi Govt Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi Govt Bond has an alpha of 0.0072, implying that it can generate a 0.00718 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amundi Govt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amundi Govt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Govt Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amundi Govt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi Govt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi Govt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi Govt Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi Govt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.41 |
Amundi Govt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi Govt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi Govt Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 100.0% of its net assets in bonds |
Amundi Govt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amundi Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amundi Govt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi Govt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 1.21k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 1.04k |
Amundi Govt Technical Analysis
Amundi Govt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi Govt Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amundi Govt Predictive Forecast Models
Amundi Govt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi Govt's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi Govt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amundi Govt Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi Govt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi Govt Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps about 100.0% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf
Amundi Govt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi Govt security.