Metalla Royalty (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.86

X9C Stock  EUR 2.58  0.09  3.37%   
Metalla Royalty's future price is the expected price of Metalla Royalty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metalla Royalty Streaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metalla Royalty Backtesting, Metalla Royalty Valuation, Metalla Royalty Correlation, Metalla Royalty Hype Analysis, Metalla Royalty Volatility, Metalla Royalty History as well as Metalla Royalty Performance.
  
Please specify Metalla Royalty's target price for which you would like Metalla Royalty odds to be computed.

Metalla Royalty Target Price Odds to finish below 2.86

The tendency of Metalla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 2.86  after 90 days
 2.58 90 days 2.86 
about 29.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metalla Royalty to stay under € 2.86  after 90 days from now is about 29.38 (This Metalla Royalty Streaming probability density function shows the probability of Metalla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metalla Royalty Streaming price to stay between its current price of € 2.58  and € 2.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Metalla Royalty has a beta of 0.53. This entails as returns on the market go up, Metalla Royalty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Metalla Royalty Streaming will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Metalla Royalty Streaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Metalla Royalty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metalla Royalty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalla Royalty Streaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.676.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.476.17
Details

Metalla Royalty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metalla Royalty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metalla Royalty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metalla Royalty Streaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metalla Royalty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Metalla Royalty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metalla Royalty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metalla Royalty Streaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metalla Royalty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metalla Royalty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.97 M.

Metalla Royalty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metalla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metalla Royalty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metalla Royalty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44 M

Metalla Royalty Technical Analysis

Metalla Royalty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metalla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metalla Royalty Streaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metalla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metalla Royalty Predictive Forecast Models

Metalla Royalty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metalla Royalty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metalla Royalty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metalla Royalty Streaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metalla Royalty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metalla Royalty Streaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metalla Royalty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Metalla Royalty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.97 M.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Metalla Stock

When determining whether Metalla Royalty Streaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Metalla Royalty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock:
Check out Metalla Royalty Backtesting, Metalla Royalty Valuation, Metalla Royalty Correlation, Metalla Royalty Hype Analysis, Metalla Royalty Volatility, Metalla Royalty History as well as Metalla Royalty Performance.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Metalla Royalty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metalla Royalty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metalla Royalty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.