Xchg Limited American Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.70
| XCH Stock | 14.80 1.50 11.28% |
XCHG |
XCHG Limited Target Price Odds to finish below 0.70
The tendency of XCHG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.70 or more in 90 days |
| 14.80 | 90 days | 0.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XCHG Limited to drop to 0.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This XCHG Limited American probability density function shows the probability of XCHG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XCHG Limited American price to stay between 0.70 and its current price of 14.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.59 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon XCHG Limited American has a beta of -5.19. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding XCHG Limited American are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, XCHG Limited is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that XCHG Limited American has an alpha of 2.6918, implying that it can generate a 2.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). XCHG Limited Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XCHG Limited
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XCHG Limited American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of XCHG Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
XCHG Limited Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XCHG Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XCHG Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XCHG Limited American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XCHG Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
XCHG Limited Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XCHG Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XCHG Limited American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XCHG Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| XCHG Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 38.51 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.08 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| XCHG Limited generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| XCHG Limited has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: XCHG Trading Up 6.8 percent Whats Next |
XCHG Limited Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XCHG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XCHG Limited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XCHG Limited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 146.2 M |
XCHG Limited Technical Analysis
XCHG Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XCHG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XCHG Limited American. In general, you should focus on analyzing XCHG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XCHG Limited Predictive Forecast Models
XCHG Limited's time-series forecasting models is one of many XCHG Limited's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XCHG Limited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XCHG Limited American
Checking the ongoing alerts about XCHG Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XCHG Limited American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XCHG Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| XCHG Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 38.51 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.08 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| XCHG Limited generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| XCHG Limited has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: XCHG Trading Up 6.8 percent Whats Next |
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Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XCHG Limited. If investors know XCHG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XCHG Limited listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.17) | Revenue Per Share 2.252 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.51 | Return On Equity (0.48) |
The market value of XCHG Limited American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XCHG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XCHG Limited's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XCHG Limited's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XCHG Limited's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XCHG Limited's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XCHG Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XCHG Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XCHG Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.