Mphase Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.05E-4
| XDSL Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
MPhase |
MPhase Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 2.05E-4
The tendency of MPhase Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.0002 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.0002 | about 49.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MPhase Technologies to move over $ 0.0002 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.49 (This mPhase Technologies probability density function shows the probability of MPhase Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of mPhase Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0001 and $ 0.0002 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days mPhase Technologies has a beta of -10.8. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding mPhase Technologies are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MPhase Technologies is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that MPhase Technologies has an alpha of 8.2966, implying that it can generate a 8.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MPhase Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MPhase Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as mPhase Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MPhase Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MPhase Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MPhase Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MPhase Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold mPhase Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MPhase Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 8.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -10.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0002 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
MPhase Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MPhase Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for mPhase Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| mPhase Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| mPhase Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| mPhase Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| mPhase Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.17 M. | |
| mPhase Technologies currently holds about 32.72 K in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
MPhase Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MPhase Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MPhase Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MPhase Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 142.4 K |
MPhase Technologies Technical Analysis
MPhase Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MPhase Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of mPhase Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing MPhase Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MPhase Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
MPhase Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many MPhase Technologies' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MPhase Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about mPhase Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about MPhase Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for mPhase Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| mPhase Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| mPhase Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| mPhase Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| mPhase Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.17 M. | |
| mPhase Technologies currently holds about 32.72 K in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MPhase Pink Sheet
MPhase Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether MPhase Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MPhase with respect to the benefits of owning MPhase Technologies security.