Sojitz (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.80

XEB Stock  EUR 36.80  0.80  2.13%   
Sojitz's future price is the expected price of Sojitz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sojitz performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sojitz Analysis, Sojitz Valuation, Sojitz Correlation, Sojitz Hype Analysis, Sojitz Volatility, Sojitz Price History as well as Sojitz Performance.
  
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Sojitz Target Price Odds to finish over 36.80

The tendency of Sojitz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.80 90 days 36.80 
roughly 2.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sojitz to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.22 (This Sojitz probability density function shows the probability of Sojitz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sojitz has a beta of 0.89. This entails Sojitz market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Sojitz is expected to follow. Additionally Sojitz has an alpha of 0.5576, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sojitz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sojitz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sojitz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.0337.6040.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.8444.3746.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.4741.0443.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-3.435.2673.92
Details

Sojitz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sojitz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sojitz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sojitz, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sojitz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
3.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Sojitz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sojitz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sojitz can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sojitz has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Sojitz has accumulated about 2.56 B in cash with (16.69 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.04.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Stronger Nine-Month Earnings And EPS At Sojitz Has Changed Its Investment Story - simplywall.st

Sojitz Technical Analysis

Sojitz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sojitz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sojitz. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sojitz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sojitz Predictive Forecast Models

Sojitz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sojitz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sojitz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sojitz

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sojitz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sojitz help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sojitz has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Sojitz has accumulated about 2.56 B in cash with (16.69 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.04.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Stronger Nine-Month Earnings And EPS At Sojitz Has Changed Its Investment Story - simplywall.st

Other Information on Investing in Sojitz Stock

Sojitz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sojitz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sojitz with respect to the benefits of owning Sojitz security.