Exela Technologies Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.96
| XELADelisted Stock | USD 1.11 0.01 0.89% |
Exela |
Exela Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 1.96
The tendency of Exela Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days |
| 1.11 | 90 days | 1.96 | about 44.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exela Technologies to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days from now is about 44.9 (This Exela Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Exela Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exela Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 1.11 and $ 1.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exela Technologies has a beta of -0.37. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exela Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exela Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exela Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Exela Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exela Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exela Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exela Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exela Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exela Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exela Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exela Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Exela Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exela Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exela Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exela Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Exela Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exela Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Exela Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Exela Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Exela Technologies currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities. Exela Technologies has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Exela Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Exela Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Exela Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Exela to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Exela Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (125.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.51 M. |
Exela Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exela Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exela Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exela Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.2 M |
Exela Technologies Technical Analysis
Exela Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exela Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exela Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exela Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exela Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Exela Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Exela Technologies' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exela Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exela Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exela Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exela Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exela Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Exela Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exela Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Exela Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Exela Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Exela Technologies currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities. Exela Technologies has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Exela Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Exela Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Exela Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Exela to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Exela Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (125.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.51 M. |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Other Consideration for investing in Exela Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Exela Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Exela Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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