Xai Octagon Floating Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.63

XFLT-PA Preferred Stock  USD 25.14  0.05  0.20%   
XAI Octagon's future price is the expected price of XAI Octagon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of XAI Octagon Floating performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out XAI Octagon Backtesting, XAI Octagon Valuation, XAI Octagon Correlation, XAI Octagon Hype Analysis, XAI Octagon Volatility, XAI Octagon History as well as XAI Octagon Performance.
  
Please specify XAI Octagon's target price for which you would like XAI Octagon odds to be computed.

XAI Octagon Target Price Odds to finish below 24.63

The tendency of XAI Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.63  or more in 90 days
 25.14 90 days 24.63 
about 18.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XAI Octagon to drop to $ 24.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.37 (This XAI Octagon Floating probability density function shows the probability of XAI Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XAI Octagon Floating price to stay between $ 24.63  and its current price of $25.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XAI Octagon has a beta of 0.0537. This entails as returns on the market go up, XAI Octagon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XAI Octagon Floating will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XAI Octagon Floating has an alpha of 0.0258, implying that it can generate a 0.0258 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   XAI Octagon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XAI Octagon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XAI Octagon Floating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6425.1425.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5125.0125.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6225.1325.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9525.0725.20
Details

XAI Octagon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XAI Octagon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XAI Octagon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XAI Octagon Floating, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XAI Octagon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

XAI Octagon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XAI Octagon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XAI Octagon Floating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

XAI Octagon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XAI Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XAI Octagon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XAI Octagon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.5 M
Dividend Yield0.0651
Shares Short Prior Month329
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.62
Short Percent0.0008

XAI Octagon Technical Analysis

XAI Octagon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XAI Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XAI Octagon Floating. In general, you should focus on analyzing XAI Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

XAI Octagon Predictive Forecast Models

XAI Octagon's time-series forecasting models is one of many XAI Octagon's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XAI Octagon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about XAI Octagon Floating

Checking the ongoing alerts about XAI Octagon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XAI Octagon Floating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in XAI Preferred Stock

XAI Octagon financial ratios help investors to determine whether XAI Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XAI with respect to the benefits of owning XAI Octagon security.