Xlmedia Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.12
| XLMDF Stock | USD 0.15 0.01 6.25% |
XLMedia |
XLMedia PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12
The tendency of XLMedia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.12 or more in 90 days |
| 0.15 | 90 days | 0.12 | about 11.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XLMedia PLC to drop to $ 0.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.35 (This XLMedia PLC probability density function shows the probability of XLMedia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XLMedia PLC price to stay between $ 0.12 and its current price of $0.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon XLMedia PLC has a beta of 0.77. This entails as returns on the market go up, XLMedia PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XLMedia PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XLMedia PLC has an alpha of 0.6106, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). XLMedia PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XLMedia PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XLMedia PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of XLMedia PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
XLMedia PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XLMedia PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XLMedia PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XLMedia PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XLMedia PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
XLMedia PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XLMedia PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XLMedia PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XLMedia PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| XLMedia PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| XLMedia PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| XLMedia PLC has accumulated 1.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. XLMedia PLC has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist XLMedia PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, XLMedia PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like XLMedia PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for XLMedia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about XLMedia PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of XLMedia PLC outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
XLMedia PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XLMedia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XLMedia PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XLMedia PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259.9 M |
XLMedia PLC Technical Analysis
XLMedia PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XLMedia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XLMedia PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing XLMedia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XLMedia PLC Predictive Forecast Models
XLMedia PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many XLMedia PLC's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XLMedia PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XLMedia PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about XLMedia PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XLMedia PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XLMedia PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| XLMedia PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| XLMedia PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| XLMedia PLC has accumulated 1.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. XLMedia PLC has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist XLMedia PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, XLMedia PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like XLMedia PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for XLMedia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about XLMedia PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of XLMedia PLC outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in XLMedia Pink Sheet
XLMedia PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether XLMedia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XLMedia with respect to the benefits of owning XLMedia PLC security.