Invesco Consumer (Switzerland) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 786.00

XLPS Etf  USD 786.00  0.70  0.09%   
Invesco Consumer's future price is the expected price of Invesco Consumer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Consumer Staples performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Consumer Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Consumer Correlation, Invesco Consumer Hype Analysis, Invesco Consumer Volatility, Invesco Consumer Price History as well as Invesco Consumer Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Consumer's target price for which you would like Invesco Consumer odds to be computed.

Invesco Consumer Target Price Odds to finish over 786.00

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 786.00 90 days 786.00 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Consumer to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Invesco Consumer Staples probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco Consumer has a beta of 0.0533. This entails as returns on the market go up, Invesco Consumer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Consumer Staples will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Consumer Staples has an alpha of 0.1934, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Consumer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Consumer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Consumer Staples. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
785.20786.00786.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
754.76755.56864.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
784.76785.56786.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
649.75789.61929.47
Details

Invesco Consumer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Consumer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Consumer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Consumer Staples, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Consumer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
37.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Invesco Consumer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Consumer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Consumer Staples can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Only 3 Vanguard ETFs You Need for the Next 30 Years - Yahoo Finance
The fund keeps all of its net assets in stocks

Invesco Consumer Technical Analysis

Invesco Consumer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Consumer Staples. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Consumer Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Consumer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Consumer's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Consumer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Consumer Staples

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Consumer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Consumer Staples help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Only 3 Vanguard ETFs You Need for the Next 30 Years - Yahoo Finance
The fund keeps all of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Etf

Invesco Consumer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Consumer security.