Defiance Large Cap Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 20.54

XMAG Etf   20.75  0.08  0.39%   
Defiance Large's future price is the expected price of Defiance Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Defiance Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Defiance Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Defiance Large Correlation, Defiance Large Hype Analysis, Defiance Large Volatility, Defiance Large History as well as Defiance Large Performance.
  
Please specify Defiance Large's target price for which you would like Defiance Large odds to be computed.

Defiance Large Target Price Odds to finish over 20.54

The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  20.54  in 90 days
 20.75 90 days 20.54 
about 13.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Large to stay above  20.54  in 90 days from now is about 13.39 (This Defiance Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defiance Large Cap price to stay between  20.54  and its current price of 20.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance Large has a beta of 0.46. This entails as returns on the market go up, Defiance Large average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Defiance Large Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Defiance Large Cap has an alpha of 0.0605, implying that it can generate a 0.0605 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Defiance Large Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defiance Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0420.7621.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8820.6021.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0120.7321.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9620.4921.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Defiance Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Defiance Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Defiance Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Defiance Large Cap.

Defiance Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Defiance Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The ETF Boom Whats In Store For 2025 - Seeking Alpha

Defiance Large Technical Analysis

Defiance Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defiance Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defiance Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defiance Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Defiance Large Predictive Forecast Models

Defiance Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Defiance Large's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defiance Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Defiance Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Defiance Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defiance Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The ETF Boom Whats In Store For 2025 - Seeking Alpha
When determining whether Defiance Large Cap is a strong investment it is important to analyze Defiance Large's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Defiance Large's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Defiance Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Defiance Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Defiance Large Correlation, Defiance Large Hype Analysis, Defiance Large Volatility, Defiance Large History as well as Defiance Large Performance.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
The market value of Defiance Large Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance Large's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance Large's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance Large's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance Large's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.