Nuveen Minnesota Quality Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.66

XMNSX Fund  USD 12.79  0.02  0.16%   
Nuveen Minnesota's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Minnesota instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Minnesota Quality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Minnesota Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Minnesota Correlation, Nuveen Minnesota Hype Analysis, Nuveen Minnesota Volatility, Nuveen Minnesota History as well as Nuveen Minnesota Performance.
  
Please specify Nuveen Minnesota's target price for which you would like Nuveen Minnesota odds to be computed.

Nuveen Minnesota Target Price Odds to finish over 12.66

The tendency of Nuveen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.66  in 90 days
 12.79 90 days 12.66 
about 75.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Minnesota to stay above $ 12.66  in 90 days from now is about 75.56 (This Nuveen Minnesota Quality probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Minnesota Quality price to stay between $ 12.66  and its current price of $12.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nuveen Minnesota has a beta of 0.0789. This entails as returns on the market go up, Nuveen Minnesota average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nuveen Minnesota Quality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nuveen Minnesota Quality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nuveen Minnesota Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Minnesota

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Minnesota Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuveen Minnesota's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4112.7913.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3812.7613.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3912.7713.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4712.7112.95
Details

Nuveen Minnesota Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Minnesota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Minnesota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Minnesota Quality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Minnesota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

Nuveen Minnesota Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Minnesota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Minnesota Quality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Minnesota generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Nuveen Minnesota Technical Analysis

Nuveen Minnesota's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Minnesota Quality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Minnesota Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Minnesota's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Minnesota's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Minnesota's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Minnesota Quality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Minnesota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Minnesota Quality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Minnesota generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Mutual Fund

Nuveen Minnesota financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Minnesota security.
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