Xencor Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.8
| XNCR Stock | USD 25.30 0.76 2.92% |
Xencor |
Xencor Target Price Odds to finish below 19.8
The tendency of Xencor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.80 or more in 90 days |
| 25.30 | 90 days | 19.80 | about 32.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xencor to drop to $ 19.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.13 (This Xencor Inc probability density function shows the probability of Xencor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xencor Inc price to stay between $ 19.80 and its current price of $25.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.19 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xencor will likely underperform. Additionally Xencor Inc has an alpha of 0.3817, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xencor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xencor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xencor Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xencor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xencor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xencor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xencor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xencor Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xencor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Xencor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xencor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xencor Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xencor Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 168.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.09 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34.98 M). | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Xencor, Inc. CEO Sells 1,186,121.46 in Stock |
Xencor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xencor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xencor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xencor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 593.7 M |
Xencor Technical Analysis
Xencor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xencor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xencor Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xencor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xencor Predictive Forecast Models
Xencor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xencor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xencor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xencor Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xencor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xencor Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xencor Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 168.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.09 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34.98 M). | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Xencor, Inc. CEO Sells 1,186,121.46 in Stock |
Additional Tools for Xencor Stock Analysis
When running Xencor's price analysis, check to measure Xencor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xencor is operating at the current time. Most of Xencor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xencor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xencor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xencor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.