Exotic Food (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.08

XO Stock  THB 20.30  0.10  0.50%   
Exotic Food's future price is the expected price of Exotic Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Exotic Food Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Exotic Food Backtesting, Exotic Food Valuation, Exotic Food Correlation, Exotic Food Hype Analysis, Exotic Food Volatility, Exotic Food History as well as Exotic Food Performance.
  
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Exotic Food Target Price Odds to finish over 22.08

The tendency of Exotic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  22.08  or more in 90 days
 20.30 90 days 22.08 
about 88.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exotic Food to move over  22.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.25 (This Exotic Food Public probability density function shows the probability of Exotic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exotic Food Public price to stay between its current price of  20.30  and  22.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Exotic Food Public has a beta of -0.33. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exotic Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exotic Food Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exotic Food Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Exotic Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exotic Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exotic Food Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5220.3022.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1117.8922.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3519.1220.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1720.2720.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exotic Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exotic Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exotic Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Exotic Food Public.

Exotic Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exotic Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exotic Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exotic Food Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exotic Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Exotic Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exotic Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exotic Food Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exotic Food Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Exotic Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exotic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exotic Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exotic Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding424.8 M

Exotic Food Technical Analysis

Exotic Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exotic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exotic Food Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exotic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Exotic Food Predictive Forecast Models

Exotic Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exotic Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exotic Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Exotic Food Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exotic Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exotic Food Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exotic Food Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Exotic Stock

Exotic Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exotic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exotic with respect to the benefits of owning Exotic Food security.