Spdr Bofa Merrill Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 17.05
| XOVR Etf | USD 18.33 0.18 0.97% |
SPDR |
SPDR BOFA Target Price Odds to finish below 17.05
The tendency of SPDR Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.05 or more in 90 days |
| 18.33 | 90 days | 17.05 | about 70.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPDR BOFA to drop to $ 17.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.33 (This SPDR BOFA MERRILL probability density function shows the probability of SPDR Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SPDR BOFA MERRILL price to stay between $ 17.05 and its current price of $18.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This entails SPDR BOFA MERRILL market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SPDR BOFA is expected to follow. Additionally SPDR BOFA MERRILL has an alpha of 0.1267, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SPDR BOFA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SPDR BOFA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPDR BOFA MERRILL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPDR BOFA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPDR BOFA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPDR BOFA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPDR BOFA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPDR BOFA MERRILL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPDR BOFA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
SPDR BOFA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPDR BOFA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPDR BOFA MERRILL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPDR BOFA MERRILL was previously known as ERShares Entrepreneurs ETF and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ENTR. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: On The My Stocks Page - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund keeps about 95.47% of its net assets in bonds |
SPDR BOFA Technical Analysis
SPDR BOFA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPDR Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SPDR BOFA MERRILL. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPDR Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SPDR BOFA Predictive Forecast Models
SPDR BOFA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SPDR BOFA's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SPDR BOFA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SPDR BOFA MERRILL
Checking the ongoing alerts about SPDR BOFA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SPDR BOFA MERRILL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SPDR BOFA MERRILL was previously known as ERShares Entrepreneurs ETF and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ENTR. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: On The My Stocks Page - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund keeps about 95.47% of its net assets in bonds |
Check out SPDR BOFA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SPDR BOFA Correlation, SPDR BOFA Hype Analysis, SPDR BOFA Volatility, SPDR BOFA History as well as SPDR BOFA Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of SPDR BOFA MERRILL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPDR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPDR BOFA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPDR BOFA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPDR BOFA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPDR BOFA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPDR BOFA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPDR BOFA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPDR BOFA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.