XPAC Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.80

XPAXDelisted Stock  USD 10.39  0.01  0.1%   
XPAC Acquisition's future price is the expected price of XPAC Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of XPAC Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify XPAC Acquisition's target price for which you would like XPAC Acquisition odds to be computed.

XPAC Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 8.80

The tendency of XPAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.80  or more in 90 days
 10.39 90 days 8.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XPAC Acquisition to drop to $ 8.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This XPAC Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of XPAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XPAC Acquisition Corp price to stay between $ 8.80  and its current price of $10.39 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days XPAC Acquisition has a beta of 0.0106. This entails as returns on the market go up, XPAC Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XPAC Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XPAC Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007924 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   XPAC Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XPAC Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XPAC Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3910.3910.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.808.8011.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3710.3710.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3710.3810.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as XPAC Acquisition. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against XPAC Acquisition's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, XPAC Acquisition's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in XPAC Acquisition Corp.

XPAC Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XPAC Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XPAC Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XPAC Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XPAC Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.91

XPAC Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XPAC Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XPAC Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XPAC Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
XPAC Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
XPAC Acquisition Corp currently holds 300 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. XPAC Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about XPAC Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
XPAC Acquisition Corp currently holds about 270.26 K in cash with (523.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Over 78.0% of XPAC Acquisition outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

XPAC Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XPAC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XPAC Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XPAC Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 K
Cash And Short Term Investments44.7 K

XPAC Acquisition Technical Analysis

XPAC Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XPAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XPAC Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing XPAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

XPAC Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

XPAC Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many XPAC Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XPAC Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about XPAC Acquisition Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about XPAC Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XPAC Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XPAC Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
XPAC Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
XPAC Acquisition Corp currently holds 300 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. XPAC Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about XPAC Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
XPAC Acquisition Corp currently holds about 270.26 K in cash with (523.12 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Over 78.0% of XPAC Acquisition outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in XPAC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in XPAC Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the XPAC Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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