Xp Credito (Brazil) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 5.94
| XPCA11 Etf | 5.95 0.57 8.74% |
XPCA11 |
Xp Credito Target Price Odds to finish over 5.94
The tendency of XPCA11 Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.94 in 90 days |
| 5.95 | 90 days | 5.94 | about 92.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xp Credito to stay above 5.94 in 90 days from now is about 92.09 (This Xp Credito Agricola probability density function shows the probability of XPCA11 Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xp Credito Agricola price to stay between 5.94 and its current price of 5.95 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xp Credito Agricola has a beta of -0.4. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xp Credito are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xp Credito Agricola is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xp Credito Agricola has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xp Credito Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Xp Credito
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xp Credito Agricola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xp Credito Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xp Credito is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xp Credito's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xp Credito Agricola, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xp Credito within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Xp Credito Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xp Credito for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xp Credito Agricola can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xp Credito Agricola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Xp Credito Technical Analysis
Xp Credito's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XPCA11 Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xp Credito Agricola. In general, you should focus on analyzing XPCA11 Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xp Credito Predictive Forecast Models
Xp Credito's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xp Credito's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xp Credito's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xp Credito Agricola
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xp Credito for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xp Credito Agricola help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xp Credito Agricola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |