XSpring Capital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.17

XPG Stock  THB 0.90  0.01  1.12%   
XSpring Capital's future price is the expected price of XSpring Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of XSpring Capital Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out XSpring Capital Backtesting, XSpring Capital Valuation, XSpring Capital Correlation, XSpring Capital Hype Analysis, XSpring Capital Volatility, XSpring Capital History as well as XSpring Capital Performance.
  
Please specify XSpring Capital's target price for which you would like XSpring Capital odds to be computed.

XSpring Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 1.17

The tendency of XSpring Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1.17  after 90 days
 0.90 90 days 1.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XSpring Capital to stay under  1.17  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This XSpring Capital Public probability density function shows the probability of XSpring Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XSpring Capital Public price to stay between its current price of  0.90  and  1.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XSpring Capital Public has a beta of -0.15. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding XSpring Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, XSpring Capital Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally XSpring Capital Public has an alpha of 0.1073, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   XSpring Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XSpring Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XSpring Capital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.903.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.783.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.873.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.880.951.02
Details

XSpring Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XSpring Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XSpring Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XSpring Capital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XSpring Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

XSpring Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XSpring Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XSpring Capital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XSpring Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
XSpring Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
XSpring Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
XSpring Capital Public has accumulated about 1.18 B in cash with (6.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

XSpring Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XSpring Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XSpring Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XSpring Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.9 B

XSpring Capital Technical Analysis

XSpring Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XSpring Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XSpring Capital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing XSpring Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

XSpring Capital Predictive Forecast Models

XSpring Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many XSpring Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XSpring Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about XSpring Capital Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about XSpring Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XSpring Capital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XSpring Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
XSpring Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
XSpring Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
XSpring Capital Public has accumulated about 1.18 B in cash with (6.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in XSpring Stock

XSpring Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether XSpring Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XSpring with respect to the benefits of owning XSpring Capital security.