Amphenol (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 69.43
| XPH Stock | EUR 70.30 0.25 0.36% |
Amphenol |
Amphenol Target Price Odds to finish below 69.43
The tendency of Amphenol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 69.43 or more in 90 days |
| 70.30 | 90 days | 69.43 | over 95.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amphenol to drop to € 69.43 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.81 (This Amphenol probability density function shows the probability of Amphenol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amphenol price to stay between € 69.43 and its current price of €70.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amphenol will likely underperform. Additionally Amphenol has an alpha of 0.0948, implying that it can generate a 0.0948 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amphenol Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amphenol
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amphenol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amphenol Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amphenol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amphenol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amphenol, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amphenol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Amphenol Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amphenol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amphenol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amphenol has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Amphenol Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amphenol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amphenol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amphenol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594.8 M |
Amphenol Technical Analysis
Amphenol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amphenol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amphenol. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amphenol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amphenol Predictive Forecast Models
Amphenol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amphenol's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amphenol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amphenol
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amphenol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amphenol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amphenol has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Amphenol Stock
When determining whether Amphenol offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Amphenol's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amphenol Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amphenol Stock:Check out Amphenol Backtesting, Amphenol Valuation, Amphenol Correlation, Amphenol Hype Analysis, Amphenol Volatility, Amphenol History as well as Amphenol Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Amphenol Stock please use our How to Invest in Amphenol guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.