XP Infra (Brazil) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 74.70
| XPIE11 Etf | 63.19 1.43 2.32% |
XPIE11 |
XP Infra Target Price Odds to finish over 74.70
The tendency of XPIE11 Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 74.70 or more in 90 days |
| 63.19 | 90 days | 74.70 | about 14.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XP Infra to move over 74.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.3 (This XP Infra Fund probability density function shows the probability of XPIE11 Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XP Infra Fund price to stay between its current price of 63.19 and 74.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XP Infra has a beta of 0.077. This entails as returns on the market go up, XP Infra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XP Infra Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XP Infra Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. XP Infra Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for XP Infra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XP Infra Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XP Infra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XP Infra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XP Infra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XP Infra Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XP Infra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
XP Infra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XP Infra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XP Infra Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XP Infra Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
XP Infra Technical Analysis
XP Infra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XPIE11 Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XP Infra Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing XPIE11 Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XP Infra Predictive Forecast Models
XP Infra's time-series forecasting models is one of many XP Infra's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XP Infra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XP Infra Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about XP Infra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XP Infra Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XP Infra Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |