Xtl Biopharmaceuticals Ltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.67
| XTLB Stock | USD 1.85 0.03 1.60% |
XTL |
XTL Biopharmaceutica Target Price Odds to finish below 1.67
The tendency of XTL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.67 or more in 90 days |
| 1.85 | 90 days | 1.67 | about 7.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XTL Biopharmaceutica to drop to $ 1.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.57 (This XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd probability density function shows the probability of XTL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XTL Biopharmaceuticals price to stay between $ 1.67 and its current price of $1.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days XTL Biopharmaceutica has a beta of 0.17. This entails as returns on the market go up, XTL Biopharmaceutica average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. XTL Biopharmaceutica Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XTL Biopharmaceutica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XTL Biopharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XTL Biopharmaceutica Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XTL Biopharmaceutica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XTL Biopharmaceutica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XTL Biopharmaceutica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
XTL Biopharmaceutica Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XTL Biopharmaceutica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XTL Biopharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XTL Biopharmaceutica generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica may become a speculative penny stock | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd currently holds about 5.16 M in cash with (707 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95. | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Day One Biopharmaceuticals announces executive retirement |
XTL Biopharmaceutica Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XTL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XTL Biopharmaceutica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XTL Biopharmaceutica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 544.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
XTL Biopharmaceutica Technical Analysis
XTL Biopharmaceutica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XTL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing XTL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XTL Biopharmaceutica Predictive Forecast Models
XTL Biopharmaceutica's time-series forecasting models is one of many XTL Biopharmaceutica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XTL Biopharmaceutica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XTL Biopharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about XTL Biopharmaceutica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XTL Biopharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XTL Biopharmaceutica generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica may become a speculative penny stock | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd currently holds about 5.16 M in cash with (707 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95. | |
| XTL Biopharmaceutica has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Day One Biopharmaceuticals announces executive retirement |
Check out XTL Biopharmaceutica Backtesting, XTL Biopharmaceutica Valuation, XTL Biopharmaceutica Correlation, XTL Biopharmaceutica Hype Analysis, XTL Biopharmaceutica Volatility, XTL Biopharmaceutica History as well as XTL Biopharmaceutica Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XTL Biopharmaceutica. If investors know XTL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XTL Biopharmaceutica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Earnings Share (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XTL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XTL Biopharmaceutica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XTL Biopharmaceutica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XTL Biopharmaceutica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XTL Biopharmaceutica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XTL Biopharmaceutica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XTL Biopharmaceutica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XTL Biopharmaceutica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.