Axcelis Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.30
| XXA1 Stock | 71.38 1.38 1.97% |
Axcelis |
Axcelis Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 63.30
The tendency of Axcelis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 63.30 or more in 90 days |
| 71.38 | 90 days | 63.30 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axcelis Technologies to drop to 63.30 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Axcelis Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Axcelis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axcelis Technologies price to stay between 63.30 and its current price of 71.38 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Axcelis Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Axcelis Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Axcelis Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axcelis Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axcelis Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axcelis Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axcelis Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axcelis Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axcelis Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axcelis Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Axcelis Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axcelis Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axcelis Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axcelis Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Axcelis Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axcelis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axcelis Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axcelis Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.8 M |
Axcelis Technologies Technical Analysis
Axcelis Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axcelis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axcelis Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axcelis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axcelis Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Axcelis Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Axcelis Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axcelis Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axcelis Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axcelis Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axcelis Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axcelis Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Axcelis Stock Analysis
When running Axcelis Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Axcelis Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axcelis Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Axcelis Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axcelis Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axcelis Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axcelis Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.