Xylem Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 128.03
| XYL Stock | USD 128.94 2.07 1.63% |
Xylem |
Xylem Target Price Odds to finish below 128.03
The tendency of Xylem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 128.03 or more in 90 days |
| 128.94 | 90 days | 128.03 | about 30.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xylem to drop to $ 128.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.73 (This Xylem Inc probability density function shows the probability of Xylem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xylem Inc price to stay between $ 128.03 and its current price of $128.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This entails Xylem Inc market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Xylem is expected to follow. Additionally Xylem Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xylem Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Xylem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xylem Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xylem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xylem Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xylem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xylem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xylem Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xylem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Xylem Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xylem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xylem Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xylem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xylem Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Strong Institutional Backing and Growth Trends of Xylem Inc. |
Xylem Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xylem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xylem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xylem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 218.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Xylem Technical Analysis
Xylem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xylem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xylem Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xylem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xylem Predictive Forecast Models
Xylem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xylem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xylem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xylem Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xylem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xylem Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xylem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xylem Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Strong Institutional Backing and Growth Trends of Xylem Inc. |
Check out Xylem Backtesting, Xylem Valuation, Xylem Correlation, Xylem Hype Analysis, Xylem Volatility, Xylem History as well as Xylem Performance. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xylem. If investors know Xylem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xylem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.413 | Dividend Share 1.41 | Earnings Share 3.48 | Revenue Per Share 34.788 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
The market value of Xylem Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xylem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xylem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xylem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xylem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xylem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xylem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xylem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xylem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.